Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano will face off this Sunday, 1 February 2026, at 2:00 p.m. at the Santiago Bernabéu in the Madrid derby on matchday 22 of La Liga EA Sports. Álvaro Arbeloa's side wants to continue its positive league run and put its Champions League defeat behind it, while Iñigo Pérez's team needs a good result to move away from the relegation zone. In this article, we will analyse the best odds and predictions for the Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano match and EA Sports La Liga betting.

Real Madrid

The defeat in Lisbon against Benfica has done a lot of damage to Real Madrid. It is no surprise that Álvaro Arbeloa's team was in good form and only needed one point to secure their place in the round of 16 of Europe's top competition. But the Whites showed their worst side despite Mbappe's brace and were very vulnerable in defence.

As a result, the Zaragoza-born coach may make some changes to give the Whites' game more solidity. His aim is to find the balance shown against Villarreal, as Mbappe is on a roll and making the difference in front of goal. So, if they manage to be a compact unit, the individual quality should make the bookmakers' predictions for Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano come true.

Latest results:

Albacete 3-2 Real Madrid (Copa del Rey)

Real Madrid 2-0 Levante

Real Madrid 6-1 Monaco

Villarreal 0-2 Real Madrid

Benfica 4-2 Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

The Vallecas side, for their part, have had the whole week to prepare for this visit to the Santiago Bernabéu. It has not been an easy week for the team, as the club is in a state of instability due to the poor condition of its facilities. In addition, the team is not in good form and the defeat at home to Osasuna hurt them.

Iñigo Pérez knows that his team will have to be close to perfect if they want to get a result at one of the most difficult stadiums in La Liga EA Sports. In recent matches, Rayo Vallecano have been conceding too many chances and goals to their opponents. If they do not correct this, they will have no chance of defying the Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano odds.

Latest results:

Granada 1-3 Rayo Vallecano (Copa del Rey

Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca

Alavés 2-0 Rayo Vallecano (Copa del Rey)

Celta 3-0 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano 1-3 Osasuna

Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano statistics

• Real Madrid have won both matches managed by Álvaro Arbeloa at the Santiago Bernabéu.
• Rayo have lost their last three official matches, conceding eight goals.
• Except for the defeat against Celta, Real Madrid have won all their league matches played in front of their fans.
• Rayo Vallecano have not scored in their last six league away games, in which they have only picked up one point.

Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano predictions

Real Madrid are expected to go all out to make up for Wednesday's defeat to Benfica. In addition, Arbeloa's side are just one point behind Barcelona and want to continue in the same vein. Rayo Vallecano, for their part, have not been performing well in recent weeks. This is especially true away from Vallecas, as without their fans their performance has not been as good as desired.

In this context, taking into account the difference in quality between the two squads and the fact that the match is being played at the Santiago Bernabéu, the recommended bets for Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano are those that favour a victory for the Chamartín side.